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Grand Masters Running

Running After the Age of Fifty – A blog by Paul Jurasin

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Marathon Demographics for the Masters

Since I just ran a marathon a couple of weeks ago, I was interested in reviewing what the recent trends and statistics are looking like for marathoners primarily focusing on the Masters (40+) and Grand Masters (50+) age groups .  The statistics referenced come from Running USA.

In 2012, there were 487,000 marathon finishers in the USA.  This is slightly less than in 2011 but only because the New York City Marathon, usually the largest in the world, was cancelled due to a hurricane.  If the expected number of finishers were added, the overall number of marathon finishers would  have been slightly higher than in 2011.    At least from the marathon point of view, there’s not a growing running boom going on but there is not a reduction either.  Let’s take a look at how the genders and age groups are trending.  In the 40+ age range, the percentage of 2013-12-08 02.56.04women versus men in the marathon is slowly increasing.  In 2006, 60% of marathoners were men while 40% were women.  In 2012, that number changed slightly to 58% men and 42% women.   In 2012, 35% of all men marathoners were over 45 years of age while 23% of all women marathoners were over 45.  Overall, from 2006 – 2012, the percentage of marathoners both men and women over the age of 45 has remained steady at 46%.  When looking at all marathoners in 2012, the median age for men was 40 and 35 for women.  Interestingly, after years of improvement in average marathon finishing times, the times for both men and women have increased year over year from 2010 to 2012.   There is not an obvious answer as to why this may be happening.   A possible explanation may be that an increasing ratio of casual versus serious runners are entering the marathon ranks but that’s just speculation.  I have no data to support that statement.

Other interesting statistics about marathoners are that they run an average of 4.3 days and 28.3 miles per week and they purchased an average 3.5 pairs of running shoes during the year.  That demographic sounds pretty close to the marathoners I know.

Do Runners Continue Running as they Age?

When I run in road races and look around at the participants, my gut tells me that there are plenty of runners in the 40 and older age range.  But, sometimes it’s difficult to tell the difference between a 39 and 46 year old.  I know I’ve seen some runners win awards in the 50-54 age group that I could swear were in their 30s by look and by speed.  So, I decided to do some research to see what the numbers really look like.

Running USA has compiled a mountain of runner statistics over many years and they provide some great information which is the basis of the analysis below.  In this initial view of race finisher data, I wanted to determine is the percentage of runners in races of various distances are in the Masters (40+) or older age groups.  Recent data when compared to older data should provide a hint as to whether runners continue to run when they get older or if they stop.

While there are many ways to examine the data, here’s what I found and what I think the results mean:

There were about 13,000,000 finishers in distance races in the USA in 2010.  That was a big 37% increase over 2005 and an even more impressive 50% increase over 2000.  During this time the % of Masters (40+) runners at the 5K, 10K, Half Marathon and Marathon remained stable at around 40% of the total with no more than a 2-3% variance over the 2000 to 2010 period.  Because the percentage difference between the number of finishers in the under 40 age range and the over 40 age range is relatively stable at about 10 – 12% higher for the younger group, it appears that over the last 10 years, as the overall number of runners has increased, so has the relative number of Masters runners.  An explanation for this is that as the younger group of runners age and move into the Masters age group they keep running and add to the previous set of Masters runners who also continue to compete in races as they move further in to Masters and Grand Masters age groups.

Another interesting data point that I found is that the largest percentage of Masters and older runners is in the Marathon at 46% of the total finishers in 2010.  This is contrasted by the 5K in which 39% of finishers were 40 and older, the lowest percentage when looking at the 5K, 10K, Half-Marathon and Marathon.  To be clear, the 5K had many more race finishers than any other race distance at 4.6 million, 1.8 million of them being 40 and older.  Whereas the Marathon had 507,000 overall finishers with 233,000 of them being over 40.  An explanation for this may be that as race distances become longer, fewer people are willing and able to prepare for them and tend to be more serious runners.  Therefore, as they age and move into the Masters category they continue to run the longer distance races.

There are many relationships to explore with this data.    A few questions initially come to mind;  Of the 13 million race finishers in 2010, how many of them ran more than one race?  What is the average number of races in which a runner competes in a year?  How many runners never race and therefore are not counted in the total number of runners?

Future discussions to come.

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